Cruzeiro vs Remo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Cruzeiro vs Remo
Match Preview
The model favours Cruzeiro to win against Remo, predicting a scoreline of 2-0. Cruzeiro currently sits in fifth place in the Serie A standings, showcasing a solid season with 14 wins from 29 matches. They have scored 44 goals while conceding 40, resulting in a goal difference of +4. Despite some inconsistency recently, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, they remain in contention for a higher league position. In contrast, Remo's season has been challenging, as they find themselves in 19th place with only five wins from 29 matches. Their goal-scoring has been poor, netting just 33 goals, while their defence has struggled, conceding 48. With no wins in their last five matches, including four losses, Remo is fighting to avoid relegation and needs to find form quickly. The model gives Cruzeiro a strong win probability, reflecting their better league position and recent form. However, one caveat is that Cruzeiro's recent inconsistency could allow Remo an opportunity to capitalize if they can find their rhythm. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
Cruzeiro have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Cruzeiro win as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Cruzeiro clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Cruzeiro are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Cruzeiro vs Remo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.33 | 5.10 | 7.80 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 1.94 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 1.38 | 5.34 | 7.55 | 1.54 | 2.55 | — | — | |
| 1.33 | 4.39 | 6.18 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.35 | 4.80 | 7.50 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.40 | 4.50 | 8.00 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.37 | 5.33 | 8.15 | 1.52 | 2.46 | 1.75 | 1.97 | |
Betano | 1.42 | 5.20 | 8.00 | 1.57 | 2.50 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.00 | 1.50 | 2.35 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Remo leads 3-2)In the last five matches between Cruzeiro and Remo, Remo has won three times, while Cruzeiro has secured two victories, resulting in no draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tight encounters, as seen in the 1-0 and 2-1 results. However, Remo has achieved some stronger performances, including a 3-1 win, which points to their capability of securing heavier victories. Cruzeiro's last win against Remo came in 2022, suggesting that Remo has had the upper hand in more recent meetings.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCruzeiro have won 14 of their last 24 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Cruzeiro 2-0 and beat Cruzeiro 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 15D 11L from the last 48 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Remo have won 4 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 9 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Vasco DA Gama 0-0 and lost to Bahia 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 17D 18L from the last 45 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersCruzeiro4
Remo4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Bruno Arleu has averaged 4.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Cruzeiro have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Remo 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Cruzeiro have generated 0.94 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Cruzeiro player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
