Kristiansund BK vs Molde Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Molde
Match Preview
The model favours Molde to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-0 against Kristiansund BK. Molde currently sits in 5th place in the Eliteserien standings, having secured 23 points from 14 matches. Their season has been characterised by a solid offensive performance, scoring 25 goals, while their defensive record shows room for improvement with 19 goals conceded. Despite a recent dip in form, with only one win in their last five matches, they remain a stronger side overall. In contrast, Kristiansund BK finds itself in a precarious 15th position, having gathered just 12 points from 14 games. With only 3 wins to their name, their goal-scoring ability has been limited, netting just 12 goals this season. Their recent form has been concerning, with only one victory in the last five matches, indicating ongoing struggles in both attack and defence. The model suggests a win probability of 66% for Molde, with the projected score of 2-0. A key market indicator is that Molde is expected to dominate possession during the match. However, if Kristiansund can improve their defensive organisation or take advantage of set pieces, they could pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis draws from expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.1% probability.
Molde have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Molde win as the most likely scoreline at 13.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Molde are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kristiansund BK vs Molde| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.40 | 4.10 | 1.68 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.48 | 2.40 | |
| 4.75 | 3.86 | 1.66 | 1.46 | 2.39 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 4.33 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 5.07 | 3.85 | 1.68 | 1.51 | 2.57 | — | — | |
| 4.11 | 3.76 | 1.61 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.67 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 4.86 | 3.95 | 1.70 | 1.46 | 2.39 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
| 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.58 | 1.44 | 2.55 | 1.48 | 2.43 | |
| 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 4.65 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Superbet | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.69 | 1.49 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.65 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Molde leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Kristiansund BK and Molde, Molde has won 6 times, Kristiansund BK has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, although Molde has had the upper hand overall. The matches have featured a mix of close encounters, such as Kristiansund's 2-1 and 1-0 wins, but also some heavy defeats for Kristiansund, including a 0-4 loss. The draw in their most recent friendly indicates that while Molde has been more successful, Kristiansund can still pose a threat.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 | Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKristiansund BK have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Kristiansund BK 1-2 and drew with Kristiansund BK 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 14L from the last 28 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Molde have won 2 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat KFUM Oslo 2-4 and drew with Aalesund 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 10L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKristiansund BK
No reported absences
Molde
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. T. Sinnes has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Kristiansund BK have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Molde 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Molde have generated 1.74 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Molde player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
