Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds
Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Valerenga, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sits at the top of the Eliteserien standings with 35 points from 15 matches, showcasing a strong season with 11 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses. Their offensive strength is evident, having scored 37 goals while conceding just 11, resulting in a remarkable goal difference of +26. This consistent performance has solidified their position as title contenders. In contrast, Valerenga is in 7th place with 20 points from 14 matches, recording 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. Their goal-scoring has been modest, with 22 goals scored but 24 conceded, leaving them with a negative goal difference of -2. Recent form shows some inconsistency, with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches, indicating challenges in maintaining momentum against stronger teams. The model provides a win probability of approximately 65% for Bodo/Glimt, suggesting they are well-favoured for this encounter. However, Valerenga could pose a threat if they manage to capitalise on any defensive lapses from their opponents. For a detailed breakdown of how this prediction was formulated, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which outlines our in-house model's analysis of expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.6% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 74% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.44 | 1.35 | 3.10 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 5.60 | 4.80 | 1.46 | 1.31 | 2.94 | 1.44 | 2.53 | |
| 5.50 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.44 | 2.70 | |
| 5.77 | 5.18 | 1.50 | 1.37 | 3.22 | — | — | |
| 5.32 | 4.54 | 1.39 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.50 | 4.75 | 1.44 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 5.75 | 4.75 | 1.48 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 5.89 | 4.96 | 1.48 | 1.31 | 2.94 | 1.45 | 2.56 | |
| 5.50 | 4.75 | 1.47 | 1.30 | 3.05 | 1.42 | 2.60 | |
| 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.44 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
Betano | 5.70 | 4.60 | 1.47 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Superbet | 5.35 | 4.85 | 1.47 | 1.34 | 3.10 | 1.46 | 2.55 |
BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 3.13 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Valerenga and Bodo/Glimt, Bodo/Glimt has won 7 times while Valerenga has managed just 1 win, with no draws recorded. This record indicates a dominant performance by Bodo/Glimt, particularly highlighted by several heavy victories, including a 7-2 win and a 6-0 result. Valerenga's sole win came in a recent match, suggesting a potential for competitiveness, but overall, the trend leans heavily in favor of Bodo/Glimt, with Valerenga struggling to secure points in this matchup over the recent past.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Valerenga | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 20 | LWWLW |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonValerenga have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Ham-Kam 0-3 and beat Aalesund 6-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 11L from the last 29 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Bodo/Glimt have won 10 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Bodo/Glimt 3-3 and beat Sandefjord 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 25W 5D 4L from the last 34 games (74% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedValerenga4-4-2Confirmed
Bodo/Glimt4-1-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersValerenga
No reported absences
Bodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Amland has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. Amland to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Valerenga have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 6.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.33 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 74% of them. They put 6.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
