Mirassol vs Internacional Prediction, Tips & Odds
Mirassol vs Internacional
Match Preview
The model favours Mirassol to win against Internacional, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Mirassol currently sits in 15th place in the Serie A standings, having accumulated 32 points from 28 matches. Their recent form shows improvement, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This resurgence is crucial as they aim to secure their position in the league, particularly with a goal difference of -9, indicating room for improvement in their defensive play. In contrast, Internacional is struggling at 18th place with only 28 points from the same number of games. Their form has been poor, with just one win in their last five matches, including four consecutive losses. This slump in performance has significantly hampered their chances of climbing the table and escaping the relegation zone. They have a goal difference of -6, which suggests they are also facing challenges defensively. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Mirassol, while Internacional has a 25% chance of winning. The key market percentage to note is Mirassol's odds at 1.85. However, a potential caveat is that if Internacional manages to find form and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Mirassol, they could pose a threat. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season, as presented by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Mirassol manage games at home, conceding just 1.19 goals per match. Internacional score 1.32 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Mirassol have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Mirassol are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Mirassol vs Internacional| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.26 | 3.42 | 2.94 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 2.02 | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.33 | 3.52 | 3.03 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.69 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 2.32 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Mirassol leads 2-0)In the last three encounters between Mirassol and Internacional, Mirassol has won twice while the teams drew once, with Internacional failing to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a competitive dynamic, with Mirassol winning by margins of one and two goals, and the lone draw ending in a 1-1 stalemate. This suggests that Mirassol has been the stronger side recently, while Internacional has struggled to find the back of the net in these matchups. The absence of wins for Internacional in this sample highlights a notable trend in favor of Mirassol.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 25 | 32 | 61 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 | WWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 50 | DWDLD |
| 5 |  Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 48 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 33 | DWDWL |
| 17 | Internacional | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 25 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonMirassol have won 10 of their last 24 matches at home, drawing 9 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Mirassol 2-0 and drew with Mirassol 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 15D 17L from the last 47 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Internacional have won 6 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sao Paulo 1-0 and beat Chapecoense-sc 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 12D 14L from the last 40 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMirassol
No reported absences
Internacional
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Mirassol have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Internacional 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Mirassol have generated 0.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Mirassol player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.