RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Tips & Odds
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
Match Preview
The model favours Cruzeiro to win the match against RB Bragantino, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Cruzeiro currently sits in sixth place in the Serie A standings, boasting a record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses from 28 matches. With 45 points and a goal difference of 2, they have been competitive this season. The team has scored 42 goals while conceding 40, indicating a slightly leaky defence but a capable attack. In contrast, RB Bragantino is positioned 10th in the league with 36 points, having won 10, drawn 6, and lost 11 of their 27 matches. They have a goal difference of 2 as well, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. However, their recent form has been less than ideal, with only one win in their last five matches, suggesting struggles to maintain consistency throughout the season. The model indicates a win probability of around 45% for Cruzeiro, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that if RB Bragantino can leverage their home advantage effectively, they may pose a greater threat than their recent form suggests. The full methodology of our prediction comes from an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results across the season, as provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
RB Bragantino manage games at home, conceding just 1.04 goals per match. Cruzeiro score 1.40 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
RB Bragantino have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. RB Bragantino are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.18 | 3.48 | 3.04 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.88 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 2.28 | 3.59 | 3.12 | 1.79 | 2.07 | — | — | |
| 2.08 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 1.69 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.25 | 3.59 | 3.14 | 1.74 | 2.13 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 2.27 | 3.55 | 3.10 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Cruzeiro leads 6-1)In the last 10 encounters between RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro, Cruzeiro has won 6 times, RB Bragantino has won once, and there have been 3 draws. The results indicate a relatively strong advantage for Cruzeiro, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure narrow victories, such as the 2-1 wins in two of their most recent matches. While RB Bragantino managed a solitary win, it was by a narrow margin of 1-0. The presence of three draws suggests some competitive matches, but overall, Cruzeiro's dominance is evident, especially with their more frequent wins and a recent 3-0 victory.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 25 | 32 | 61 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 | WWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 50 | DWDLD |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 48 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | DLLDL |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 25 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRB Bragantino have won 11 of their last 24 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Mirassol 1-1 and lost to Bahia 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 14D 17L from the last 47 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Cruzeiro have won 9 of their last 24 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Vitoria 1-3 and lost to Santos 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 15D 10L from the last 48 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
9 playersRB Bragantino4
Cruzeiro5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Savio Pereira Sampaio has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Savio Pereira Sampaio to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
RB Bragantino have averaged 7.6 corners per match at home; Cruzeiro 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
RB Bragantino have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 6.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. RB Bragantino player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
