Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Youth Island to win this match against Dalian Zhixing, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Qingdao currently sits in 5th place in the standings with 38 points from 26 matches, having secured eight wins, fourteen draws, and four losses. Their goal-scoring has been modest, netting 31 goals while conceding 32, resulting in a negative goal difference of -1. Recent form shows they are difficult to beat, going unbeaten in their last five matches with one win and four draws. Dalian Zhixing, on the other hand, is positioned 2nd in the league with 40 points from the same number of matches, boasting twelve wins, four draws, and ten losses. They have scored 38 goals but have also conceded 42, leading to a goal difference of -4. Their recent form is stronger than Qingdao's, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating they are finding ways to secure results even when not performing at their best. The model output suggests a win probability of around 55% for Qingdao Youth Island, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that Dalian's recent unbeaten run could pose challenges for Qingdao, particularly if they struggle to convert their chances. The full methodology of this prediction, which leverages expected goals and actual results throughout the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
Qingdao Youth Island have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Qingdao Youth Island are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.18 | 3.34 | 3.05 | 1.71 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.33 | 3.53 | 3.06 | 1.75 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.13 | 2.66 | 1.67 | 2.17 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.26 | 3.46 | 3.16 | 1.75 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 2.22 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.70 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.66 | 2.05 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Qingdao Youth Island leads 2-0)In their last two encounters, Qingdao Youth Island has won both matches against Dalian Zhixing, with a record of 2 wins and 0 draws. The scorelines of 2-0 in each match indicate that Qingdao Youth Island not only secured victories but did so with a two-goal margin, suggesting a level of dominance. Dalian Zhixing has not managed to find the back of the net in these fixtures, highlighting a struggle in their offensive play against Qingdao Youth Island. Overall, the historical data reflects a clear advantage for Qingdao Youth Island in recent meetings.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Youth Island have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 9 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Qingdao Youth Island 2-0 and drew with Qingdao Youth Island 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 17D 8L from the last 37 games (32% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Dalian Zhixing have won 3 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-1 and drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 15L from the last 37 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedQingdao Youth Island4-2-3-1Confirmed
Dalian Zhixing4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Dalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Youth Island have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Dalian Zhixing 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Qingdao Youth Island have generated 1.34 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Qingdao Youth Island player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
