Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
Match Preview
The model favours Fenerbahçe to win against Rizespor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Fenerbahçe currently sits in 6th place in the Süper Lig, with an impressive goal difference of +10 from their six matches this season. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 16 goals, which is significantly higher than Rizespor’s total of 7. Fenerbahçe's recent form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss, indicating a relatively stable performance as they look to climb the standings. Rizespor, in contrast, is positioned 9th, managing to secure only 10 points from their six games. Their goal difference is a modest +1, and they have struggled to find consistency, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. While they have shown resilience, their overall scoring capability remains limited compared to their opponents. According to the model, Fenerbahçe has a win probability of around 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to consider is the over/under on total goals, which could reflect the attacking nature of both teams. However, a potential caveat for this prediction is Rizespor's ability to perform well at home, which could disrupt Fenerbahçe's plans. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Fenerbahçe have been the stronger side, winning 61% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Fenerbahçe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.45 | 4.15 | 1.64 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 4.52 | 4.39 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 2.43 | — | — | |
| 4.19 | 3.74 | 1.66 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.70 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.67 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 4.64 | 4.32 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 2.42 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 4.65 | 4.20 | 1.75 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Fenerbahçe leads 9-0)In the last ten matches between Rizespor and Fenerbahçe, Fenerbahçe has won 9 times, with 1 draw and no wins for Rizespor. The scorelines indicate a significant dominance by Fenerbahçe, highlighted by several heavy defeats for Rizespor, including a 0-6 loss and a 0-5 loss. The lone draw ended in a 2-2 tie, but overall, Rizespor has struggled to keep matches competitive, with Fenerbahçe frequently scoring three or more goals. Rizespor has not won against Fenerbahçe in this period, marking a challenging trend for them in this fixture.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRizespor have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Rizespor 0-3 and beat Rizespor 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 12L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Fenerbahçe have won 13 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Aston Villa 6-0 and beat Rizespor 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 25W 9D 7L from the last 41 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRizespor4-1-4-1Confirmed
Fenerbahçe4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
3 playersRizespor1
Fenerbahçe2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Ergun has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Ergun to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Rizespor have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Fenerbahçe 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Fenerbahçe have generated 2.03 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 61% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Fenerbahçe player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
