Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
Match Preview
The model favours Trabzonspor to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Samsunspor. Trabzonspor currently sits in 7th place in the league, having accumulated 10 points from their first six matches. Their season has shown a promising offensive output, scoring 13 goals while only conceding 5, resulting in a goal difference of +8. This strong start highlights their attacking capabilities, which will be crucial in this matchup. On the other hand, Samsunspor finds themselves in a precarious position at 16th in the standings, with only 4 points from 6 matches. Their form has been concerning, with just one win and four losses in their last five fixtures, leaving them with a goal difference of -6. While they have managed to score 6 goals, their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed, making it challenging to secure points against stronger opponents. The model output indicates a win probability of around 60% for Trabzonspor, with the projected score of 2-1 reflecting their current form and standings. However, a potential caveat is that if Samsunspor can tighten their defense and exploit any lapses in Trabzonspor’s play, an upset could be on the cards. The full method, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, providing further insight into this analysis by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Trabzonspor have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Trabzonspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.62 | 3.74 | 1.88 | 1.64 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.45 | 2.55 | |
| 3.85 | 3.78 | 1.96 | 1.65 | 2.33 | — | — | |
| 3.30 | 3.45 | 1.94 | 1.66 | 2.21 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.78 | 3.90 | 1.96 | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 3.50 | 3.55 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.93 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Trabzonspor leads 4-3)The head-to-head record between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor over the last 10 matches shows Trabzonspor winning 4 times, Samsunspor winning 3 times, and 3 matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with several closely contested matches, including four drawn games. Notably, Trabzonspor has secured two heavy wins (3-0 and 4-0), while Samsunspor’s victories have been narrower, with their highest margin being 3-1. The most recent match ended in a goalless draw, highlighting a potential shift in competitiveness. The last time Samsunspor won was in 2024, suggesting a slight advantage for Trabzonspor in recent encounters.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LDDWL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSamsunspor have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Samsunspor 0-3 and lost to Samsunspor 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 13L from the last 34 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Trabzonspor have won 10 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat KuPS 2-4 and beat Samsunspor 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 6D 11L from the last 39 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSamsunspor4-2-3-1Confirmed
Trabzonspor4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
9 playersSamsunspor5
Trabzonspor4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Cakir has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Samsunspor have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Trabzonspor 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Trabzonspor have generated 1.94 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Trabzonspor player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
