Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos Prediction, Tips & Odds
Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos
Match Preview
The model favours Asteras Tripolis to win against Levadiakos, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Asteras Tripolis currently sits in 10th place in the Super League 1 standings, having played six matches this season. With one win, two draws, and three losses, their goal difference stands at -4, having scored six goals and conceded ten. However, their recent form shows promise, as they are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws, indicating a potential upswing in performance. In contrast, Levadiakos finds themselves in 13th place, having played five matches without a win this season. They have drawn once and lost four times, resulting in a troubling goal difference of -9, with no goals scored and nine conceded. Their recent form is concerning, as they have failed to secure a victory in their last five matches, recording four losses and a single draw, which raises questions about their ability to contend effectively in this fixture. The model output indicates a strong win probability for Asteras Tripolis, suggesting they have a significant edge heading into the match. However, a potential caveat is that if Levadiakos can improve their defensive performance, they might be able to frustrate Asteras Tripolis and secure a surprising result. The full prediction methodology, which takes into account expected goals and actual results across the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Asteras Tripolis have kept a clean sheet in 21% of matches. Levadiakos average 1.1 goals per game.
Asteras Tripolis manage games at home, conceding just 1.48 goals per match. Levadiakos score 1.08 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.7% probability.
Asteras Tripolis have been the stronger side, winning 24% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Asteras Tripolis win as the most likely scoreline at 16.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Asteras Tripolis clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Asteras Tripolis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.98 | 3.16 | 3.94 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 1.99 | 1.71 | |
| 1.98 | 3.13 | 4.31 | 2.39 | 1.57 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.90 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 2.00 | 3.16 | 3.94 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 1.99 | 1.73 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Levadiakos leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos, Levadiakos has won 5 times, Asteras Tripolis has won once, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three 1-1 draws and a notable 0-0 draw. However, Levadiakos has achieved a slight edge, including two 2-0 victories and a 3-1 win, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters. Asteras Tripolis last won against Levadiakos over two years ago, highlighting their struggle to secure victories in this matchup.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 3 |  PAOK | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 | WWDLL |
| 6 |  Kalamata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 2 | DLLDL |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAsteras Tripolis have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Asteras Tripolis 2-1 and drew with Asteras Tripolis 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 9D 16L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Levadiakos have won 2 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Iraklis 1908 2-0 and drew with Kifisia 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 12L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAsteras Tripolis
No reported absences
Levadiakos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Asteras Tripolis have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Levadiakos 2.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Asteras Tripolis have generated 1.42 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 24% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Asteras Tripolis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.