Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow
Match Preview
The model favours Dynamo to win against CSKA Moscow, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dynamo currently sits in second place in the league, having accumulated 19 points from nine matches with a record of six wins, one draw, and two losses. Their strong season has been highlighted by a solid goal difference of +6, with 14 goals scored and only 8 conceded. Notably, Dynamo is on a remarkable five-match winning streak, indicating their current form is exceptional. On the other hand, CSKA Moscow occupies third place, also with 19 points, but they have played one match fewer. Their record of five wins and four draws with no losses speaks to their resilience, but their recent form has been mixed, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. With 15 goals scored and 9 conceded, CSKA's goal difference matches Dynamo's at +6, but they may need to improve their consistency to challenge for the top spot. The model gives Dynamo a win probability of approximately 55%, while CSKA Moscow's chances are estimated at 25%, with a 20% likelihood of a draw. However, Dynamo's current winning run could be disrupted if they fail to maintain their defensive solidity against a CSKA side that has proven difficult to beat. The full method, which uses expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
Dynamo have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Dynamo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.47 | 3.66 | 2.75 | 1.73 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.53 | 3.76 | 2.82 | 1.79 | 2.19 | 1.57 | 2.28 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between Dynamo and CSKA Moscow stands at 4 wins for Dynamo, 2 draws, and 4 wins for CSKA Moscow over the last 10 matches. The results indicate a competitive rivalry, with both teams securing equal wins. Notably, there have been several high-scoring encounters, including a 5-2 victory for Dynamo in a recent friendly. However, there have also been tightly contested matches, such as two goalless draws and a 1-1 tie. The last time CSKA Moscow won against Dynamo was in October 2024, suggesting a balanced but fluctuating dynamic between the clubs.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 22 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Zenit | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 | LDDDW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | LDDDW |
| 14 |  Akron | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 | LWDDD |
| 15 |  Rodina Moskva | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 3 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDynamo have won 15 of their last 24 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rodina Moskva 3-2 and beat FC Orenburg 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 10D 9L from the last 42 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
CSKA Moscow have won 6 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 and beat Zenit 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 13D 14L from the last 43 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDynamo
No reported absences
CSKA Moscow
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dynamo have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; CSKA Moscow 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Dynamo have generated 0.89 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Dynamo player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
