Zenit vs Akhmat Prediction, Tips & Odds
Zenit vs Akhmat
Match Preview
The model favours Zenit to win this match against Akhmat, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Zenit currently sits in fifth place in the league with 18 points from nine matches, having secured six wins and suffered three losses. Their goal-scoring ability is evident, as they have netted 19 goals while conceding only nine, resulting in a strong goal difference of +10. Their recent form also shows promise, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. On the other hand, Akhmat is positioned tenth in the standings with just 10 points from their nine matches, recording two wins, four draws, and three losses. Their goal statistics indicate a balanced attack and defence, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded, leading to a goal difference of zero. However, their recent form has been lacklustre, managing only one win and two draws in their last five outings, which raises concerns about their ability to compete effectively against a stronger side like Zenit. The model gives Zenit a win probability of approximately 60%, while Akhmat's chances sit at around 15%. One key market percentage to note is Zenit's implied probability of winning at home. However, a caveat to consider is that if Zenit underperforms or struggles to convert chances, the match could become more competitive than anticipated. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team's in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Zenit have kept a clean sheet in 53% of matches. Akhmat average 1.5 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
Zenit have been the stronger side, winning 69% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Zenit win as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Zenit clean sheets, in line with their 53% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Zenit are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Zenit vs Akhmat| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.36 | 5.05 | 9.20 | 1.70 | 2.16 | 1.99 | 1.73 | |
| 1.40 | 5.18 | 9.40 | 1.76 | 2.24 | 1.99 | 1.74 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Zenit leads 9-1)In the last 10 matches between Zenit and Akhmat, Zenit has won 9 times, while Akhmat has managed just 1 victory, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided affair, with Zenit often securing comfortable wins, including three matches with a margin of at least three goals. Akhmat's lone win came in a narrow 1-0 result, showcasing their struggle to compete consistently. This dominance is further emphasized by the fact that Akhmat has not won against Zenit since 2025, highlighting a significant gap in their recent head-to-head encounters.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 22 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Zenit | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 | LDDDW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | LDDDW |
| 11 | Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | DLWDD |
| 14 |  Akron | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 | LWDDD |
| 15 |  Rodina Moskva | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 3 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonZenit have won 20 of their last 28 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Zenit 1-0 and beat Zenit 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 31W 9D 5L from the last 45 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Akhmat have won 2 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 10 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Akhmat 2-0 and drew with Rubin 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 13D 9L from the last 38 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersZenit
No reported absences
Akhmat
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Zenit have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Akhmat 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Zenit have generated 1.40 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 69% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Zenit player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.