Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Preview
The model favours Shanghai SIPG to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 7th in the league, SIPG has shown solid form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, highlighting their ability to secure results when it matters. Their goal difference of +7 reflects a more robust defensive record compared to Hangzhou Greentown, which may play a crucial role in this matchup. In contrast, Hangzhou Greentown sits at 10th in the standings, with a mixed form of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. While they have managed to score 45 goals this season, their goal difference of +2 suggests vulnerabilities at the back, which could be exploited by a more organized SIPG attack. Greentown needs to tighten their defense to compete effectively against a team riding a wave of momentum. According to the model, SIPG has a win probability of approximately 55%, with a key market figure suggesting they are slight favourites. However, a potential caveat is that if Hangzhou can capitalize on home advantage and disrupt SIPG's rhythm, they could pose a significant threat. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.5% probability.
SHANGHAI SIPG have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 11.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. SHANGHAI SIPG are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.45 | 3.82 | 2.40 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.31 | 3.08 | |
| 2.45 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.30 | 3.40 | |
| 2.49 | 4.06 | 2.55 | 1.35 | 3.27 | — | — | |
| 2.33 | 3.64 | 2.34 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.33 | 3.10 | |
| 2.40 | 3.90 | 2.45 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 2.54 | 3.96 | 2.49 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.31 | 3.14 | |
Betano | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.45 | 1.35 | 2.92 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.90 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.29 | 3.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 4-2)The head-to-head record between Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG stands at 2 wins for Hangzhou Greentown, 4 draws, and 4 wins for SHANGHAI SIPG over the last 10 matches. The results indicate a fairly balanced contest, with four draws reflecting competitive matchups. Notably, there have been several low-scoring encounters, including two 0-0 draws, while SHANGHAI SIPG has secured three wins by a margin of two goals or more. The most recent victory for Hangzhou Greentown occurred in November 2022, suggesting that they have struggled to dominate in this fixture historically.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 36 | WDWWD |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 31 | LWLWD |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHangzhou Greentown have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 2-4 and beat Yunnan Yukun 6-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 13D 13L from the last 36 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
SHANGHAI SIPG have won 10 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2-4 and beat Ratchaburi 4-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 12D 13L from the last 40 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
SHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Hangzhou Greentown have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; SHANGHAI SIPG 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SHANGHAI SIPG have generated 1.70 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SHANGHAI SIPG player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
