Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Match Preview
The model favours Olympiakos Piraeus to win this match against Kifisia, predicting a scoreline of 2-0. Olympiakos currently sits third in the Super League 1 standings, having played six matches this season. With four wins, one draw, and just one loss, they have accumulated 13 points, scoring five goals while conceding only two. Their strong goal difference of +3 underscores their defensive solidity, which has been a key factor in their success so far. Kifisia, on the other hand, is positioned ninth in the league with eight points from six matches. Their record of two wins, two draws, and two losses reflects a more inconsistent form this season. While they have managed to score six goals, they have also conceded seven, resulting in a negative goal difference of -1. This suggests that Kifisia may struggle against a more established opponent like Olympiakos, especially given their recent form of two wins and three losses in the last five matches. The model assigns a win probability of approximately 65% to Olympiakos, with a projected score of 2-0. One caveat to consider is that if Kifisia can improve their defensive performance, they may pose a greater challenge than indicated by their current statistics. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Kifisia have kept a clean sheet in 24% of matches. Olympiakos Piraeus average 1.3 goals per game.
Kifisia manage games at home, conceding just 1.50 goals per match. Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.31 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Olympiakos Piraeus have been the stronger side, winning 51% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus win as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Olympiakos Piraeus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 7.50 | 4.30 | 1.41 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 2.08 | 1.65 | |
| 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.40 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.56 | 4.40 | 1.42 | 1.91 | 1.91 | — | — | |
| 5.90 | 3.82 | 1.39 | 1.88 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.40 | — | — | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 7.00 | 4.10 | 1.44 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 7.50 | 4.30 | 1.42 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 2.08 | 1.67 | |
Betano | 7.90 | 4.25 | 1.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Olympiakos Piraeus leads 3-0)The head-to-head record shows Olympiakos Piraeus winning 3 times, Kifisia winning 0 times, and 1 match ending in a draw over the last 4 encounters. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Olympiakos to dominate, particularly highlighted by a heavy 4-0 victory. The matches have generally been competitive, with two encounters ending with a one-goal margin, but Kifisia has struggled to secure a win, with their last victory against Olympiakos coming in the previous fixtures. The draw suggests Kifisia can hold their own at times, but overall, Olympiakos has a strong advantage in this matchup.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 4 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  PAOK | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  OFI | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Kifisia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 | WLWWD |
| 12 |  Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 3 | DDLLD |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LLLDD |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 0 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKifisia have won 4 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Kifisia 1-2 and beat Kifisia 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 14D 15L from the last 38 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Olympiakos Piraeus have won 10 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Panetolikos 0-2 and beat Marseille 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 10D 9L from the last 39 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKifisia
No reported absences
Olympiakos Piraeus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kifisia have averaged 2.2 corners per match at home; Olympiakos Piraeus 6.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Olympiakos Piraeus have generated 1.56 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 51% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Olympiakos Piraeus player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
