Palmeiras vs Remo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Palmeiras vs Remo
Match Preview
The model favours Palmeiras to win against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 3-0. Currently sitting in second place in the Serie A standings, Palmeiras has had an impressive season with 19 wins, 9 draws, and just 3 losses from 31 matches, amassing 66 points. Their goal difference of +32 highlights their strong attacking and defensive capabilities, with 54 goals scored and only 22 conceded. In contrast, Remo finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 19th place, struggling with just 5 wins and a total of 26 points. Their form has been particularly concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, recording three draws and two losses. With 34 goals scored and 49 conceded, their negative goal difference of -15 reflects significant issues in both attack and defense. The model indicates a high win probability for Palmeiras, bolstered by their recent form of four wins in their last five matches. However, a potential pitfall could be complacency, as they may underestimate a struggling opponent. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from the insights of The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 45% of matches. Remo average 1.2 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.7% probability.
Palmeiras have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Palmeiras win as the most likely scoreline at 17.7% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Palmeiras clean sheets, in line with their 45% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Palmeiras are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Palmeiras vs Remo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.18 | 6.50 | 14.50 | 1.59 | 2.27 | 2.33 | 1.52 | |
| 1.17 | 6.50 | 14.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.18 | 6.00 | 13.00 | — | — | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.18 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.19 | 7.13 | 15.50 | 1.63 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 1.54 | |
Betano | 1.21 | 6.60 | 15.00 | 1.62 | 2.35 | 2.42 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)Palmeiras and Remo have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 0 wins each and 1 draws across the last 1 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 21 | WLLLD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPalmeiras have won 20 of their last 26 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Fluminense 0-1 and beat Corinthians 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 34W 12D 5L from the last 51 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Remo have won 4 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 9 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Vasco DA Gama 0-0 and lost to Bahia 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 17D 18L from the last 45 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPalmeiras
No reported absences
Remo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Palmeiras have averaged 6.1 corners per match at home; Remo 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Palmeiras have generated 1.64 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 67% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Palmeiras player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
