AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos Prediction, Tips & Odds
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos
Match Preview
The model strongly favours AEK Athens FC to win against Levadiakos, projecting a scoreline of 3-0. Currently positioned third in the league, AEK Athens has enjoyed an impressive start to the season with five wins and two draws from their first seven matches, netting 21 goals while conceding only three. Their goal difference of +18 underlines their attacking prowess and defensive solidity, making them one of the top contenders in the league. In contrast, Levadiakos is struggling at the bottom of the table, sitting in 12th place with no wins in eight matches. They have drawn three times but have yet to secure a victory, scoring no goals and conceding 11. Their current form reflects a team in distress, having not won in their last five matches, which could further undermine their confidence going into this fixture. The model gives AEK Athens FC an 81.6% probability of winning, with a mere 5.5% chance for Levadiakos to take all three points. Additionally, there is a 61.9% likelihood of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match. However, a potential caveat is that unexpected events, such as injuries or red cards, could impact the outcome. For a deeper analysis of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
AEK Athens FC have kept a clean sheet in 49% of matches. Levadiakos average 1.0 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
AEK Athens FC have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 AEK Athens FC win as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature AEK Athens FC clean sheets, in line with their 49% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. AEK Athens FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.10 | 7.00 | 15.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 7.00 | 19.00 | — | — | 2.30 | 1.57 | |
| 1.14 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 2.38 | 1.53 | |
| 1.14 | 7.60 | 18.00 | 1.51 | 2.37 | 2.30 | 1.56 | |
Betano | 1.16 | 7.50 | 18.50 | 1.55 | 2.55 | 2.55 | 1.47 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (AEK Athens FC leads 9-0)In the last 10 matches between AEK Athens FC and Levadiakos, AEK Athens has won 9 times, with 1 draw and Levadiakos yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a dominant performance by AEK, with several heavy wins, including a 4-0 result and three matches ending 3-0. The lone draw was a 1-1 match, suggesting that when Levadiakos has managed to compete, it has often been in tight contests. Overall, AEK Athens has consistently outperformed Levadiakos, highlighting a significant disparity in their head-to-head history.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 4 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  PAOK | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  OFI | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WLLDW |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 3 | DDLLD |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LLLDD |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 0 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAEK Athens FC have won 16 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Panetolikos 5-0 and beat OFI 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 25W 12D 6L from the last 43 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Levadiakos have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Levadiakos 0-0 and lost to Iraklis 1908 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 13L from the last 27 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAEK Athens FC
No reported absences
Levadiakos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
AEK Athens FC have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Levadiakos 2.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
AEK Athens FC have generated 2.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. AEK Athens FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.