Panetolikos vs OFI Prediction, Tips & Odds
Panetolikos vs OFI
Match Preview
The model favours OFI to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. OFI currently sits in 7th place in the Super League 1 standings, having accumulated 10 points from their 7 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced goal tally of 11 goals scored and 11 conceded, indicating a level of competitiveness. Despite recent struggles, with only one win in their last five matches, they remain a threat in attack. In contrast, Panetolikos is in 9th place with 9 points from the same number of matches, and their season has been less consistent. They have registered 3 wins, but their defensive record shows they have conceded more goals than they have scored, leading to a goal difference of -3. Their recent form is concerning, having lost four of their last five matches, which could impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The model output suggests OFI has a win probability of around 55%, while Panetolikos holds about 25%. One key market to watch is the over 2.5 goals bet, which may reflect the attacking potential both teams have shown throughout the season. However, the caveat is that Panetolikos could improve their performance at home, making this a potentially unpredictable encounter. The full methodology details can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results over the season to generate these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Panetolikos manage games at home, conceding just 1.58 goals per match. OFI score 1.53 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
OFI have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. OFI are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Panetolikos vs OFI| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.86 | 3.18 | 2.43 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.89 | |
| 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.88 | 3.18 | 2.45 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.92 | |
Betano | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.10 | 1.78 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Panetolikos leads 6-3)In the last ten matches between Panetolikos and OFI, Panetolikos has won 6 times, OFI has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, with several narrow victories, as evidenced by four matches decided by a single goal. However, Panetolikos has shown stronger form overall, with three of their wins coming in cup competitions. The most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating that while Panetolikos has the upper hand historically, OFI is capable of challenging them effectively.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 4 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  PAOK | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 6 | OFI | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WLLDW |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 12 |  Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 3 | DDLLD |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LLLDD |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 0 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPanetolikos have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Panetolikos 0-2 and lost to Panetolikos 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 18L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
OFI have won 6 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kalamata 4-3 and lost to Rennes 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 7D 14L from the last 38 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPanetolikos
No reported absences
OFI
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Panetolikos have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; OFI 1.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
OFI have generated 0.81 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 45% of them. They put 2.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. OFI player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.