Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hilal Saudi FC with a projected scoreline of 3-0 against Al-Fateh. Currently sitting in second place in the league, Al-Hilal has enjoyed a strong season, winning seven of their eight matches. With a formidable goal difference of +19, they have scored 26 goals while conceding just 7. Their recent form, with four wins in their last five matches, illustrates their dominance and attacking prowess. In contrast, Al-Fateh finds itself at the bottom of the standings in 16th place. They have struggled significantly this season, managing only one win from nine matches, alongside three draws and five losses. Their goal tally of 7 goals scored against 17 conceded highlights their defensive vulnerabilities and lack of offensive threat. With only 6 points to their name, they will need to find a way to turn their fortunes around. The model output suggests a high win probability for Al-Hilal, reflecting their strong performance this season. However, a potential caveat is that if Al-Fateh can somehow tighten their defence and take advantage of any lapses from Al-Hilal, they could pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have been the stronger side, winning 72% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Hilal Saudi FC clean sheets, in line with their 50% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.03 | 10.75 | 18.25 | 1.13 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 1.86 | |
| 1.06 | 13.00 | 19.00 | 1.14 | 4.80 | 2.15 | 1.67 | |
| 1.07 | 13.23 | 16.57 | 1.15 | 4.89 | — | — | |
| 1.07 | 7.62 | 11.56 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.06 | 12.00 | 23.00 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 | |
| 1.09 | 10.00 | 19.00 | 1.20 | 4.33 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.03 | 15.50 | 26.00 | 1.15 | 4.65 | 1.80 | 1.89 | |
Betano | 1.11 | 10.25 | 20.00 | 1.21 | 4.40 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads 9-1)In the last 10 matches between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Fateh, Al-Hilal has won 9 times, while Al-Fateh has secured just 1 victory, with no draws recorded. This record indicates a dominant performance by Al-Hilal, particularly highlighted by a notable 9-0 win in January 2025. The scorelines reveal a mix of narrow and heavy victories, with several matches ending with a margin of at least two goals. Al-Fateh's last win against Al-Hilal occurred in March 2023, suggesting a significant challenge for them in this matchup.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 19 | WLLDW |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 4 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  Abha | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 2 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hilal Saudi FC have won 12 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Hazm 1-0 and beat Al-Ittihad FC 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 26W 8D 2L from the last 36 games (72% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Fateh have won 1 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Hazm 2-3 and lost to NEOM 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 10D 18L from the last 32 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hilal Saudi FC
No reported absences
Al-Fateh
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have averaged 6.9 corners per match at home; Al-Fateh 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have generated 3.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 72% of them. They put 6.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hilal Saudi FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
