Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win against Abha, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al-Ittihad currently sits in fourth place in the league and has demonstrated strong form this season with five wins, two draws, and only one loss in eight matches. Their goal-scoring ability has been notable, netting 14 goals while conceding just 9, which gives them a positive goal difference of 5. In contrast, Abha is struggling in 18th place, having yet to secure a win this season. They have managed just two draws and suffered six losses in their eight matches. With only 6 goals scored and 15 conceded, their goal difference of -9 highlights their difficulties in both attacking and defending. Their recent form, with no wins in the last five matches, further indicates a challenging season ahead. According to the model, Al-Ittihad FC has a high win probability, reflecting their strong position and performance this season. However, one caveat is that if Abha can muster an unexpected resurgence or if Al-Ittihad fails to convert chances, the outcome may not be as clear-cut. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results to arrive at these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Al-Ittihad FC have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Al-Ittihad FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Ittihad FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.56 | 2.21 | |
| 4.75 | 4.33 | 1.60 | 1.53 | 2.45 | — | — | |
| 4.99 | 4.39 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 2.45 | — | — | |
| 4.09 | 3.62 | 1.55 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.57 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 4.70 | 4.18 | 1.62 | 1.51 | 2.33 | 1.56 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 4.65 | 4.10 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ittihad FC leads 6-4)In the last 10 matches between Abha and Al-Ittihad FC, Al-Ittihad FC holds a slight edge with 6 wins compared to Abha's 4, and there have been no draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive and one-sided encounters, with Al-Ittihad FC achieving heavy victories, including a 6-1 win and a 4-0 win. Abha's last victory was a notable 3-1 win in May 2024, but prior to that, Al-Ittihad FC had a strong run, winning four consecutive matches. Overall, while Abha has had some success, Al-Ittihad FC has been the more dominant side historically.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 19 | WLLDW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 4 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Abha | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 2 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAbha have won 3 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Faisaly FC 0-1 and lost to Al-Ettifaq 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 12L from the last 22 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Ittihad FC have won 11 of their last 24 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Ittihad FC 1-2 and beat Al-Ettifaq 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 8D 10L from the last 39 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAbha
No reported absences
Al-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Abha have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Al-Ittihad FC 6.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ittihad FC have generated 1.91 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 54% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ittihad FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
