Remo vs Botafogo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Remo vs Botafogo
Match Preview
The model favours Botafogo to win this match against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Botafogo currently sits in 13th place in the Serie A standings, with a record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses from 30 matches. While their goal difference of -5 indicates some defensive vulnerabilities, they have managed to score 43 goals this season, which is significantly higher than Remo's total of 33. Botafogo’s recent form shows some signs of improvement, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Remo is struggling at the bottom of the table in 19th position, having accumulated just 25 points from 30 matches. Their season has been characterized by difficulties in securing wins, with only 5 victories to date. Recent form has been particularly concerning; they have failed to win any of their last five matches, recording two draws and three losses. This lack of momentum puts them at a disadvantage heading into this fixture. The model gives Botafogo a win probability of approximately 55%, while the projected score is 2-1. One key market percentage to note is that the odds for Botafogo winning are currently set at around 40%. However, a potential caveat is that if Remo can capitalize on home advantage and Botafogo’s defensive issues, the match could become more competitive than anticipated. For a detailed explanation of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains our in-house model based on expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Botafogo have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Botafogo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Remo vs Botafogo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.66 | 3.42 | 2.46 | 1.68 | 2.11 | 1.54 | 2.28 | |
| 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.65 | 3.60 | 2.64 | 1.72 | 2.19 | — | — | |
| 2.51 | 3.28 | 2.46 | 1.71 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.74 | 3.52 | 2.54 | 1.72 | 2.17 | 1.54 | 2.32 | |
Betano | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.50 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 1.66 | 2.05 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Botafogo leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Remo and Botafogo stands at 1 win for Remo and 2 wins for Botafogo, with no draws in their last three encounters. The scorelines suggest a competitive yet somewhat one-sided history, as Botafogo's victories include a 3-0 win and a 1-0 win, indicating their ability to secure narrow and heavy wins. Remo's sole victory was a close 2-1 win, demonstrating that while they have had their moments, they have struggled against Botafogo, who last beat them in June 2021.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 21 | WLLLD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRemo have won 6 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include drew with RB Bragantino 1-1 and drew with Gremio 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 17D 18L from the last 45 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Botafogo have won 8 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Coritiba 1-1 and lost to Mirassol 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 12D 16L from the last 47 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRemo
No reported absences
Botafogo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Lucas Paulo Torezin has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Lucas Paulo Torezin to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Remo have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Botafogo 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Botafogo have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Botafogo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
