Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
Match Preview
The model favours Shenyang Urban to win against Wuhan Three Towns, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Shenyang Urban currently sits in 13th place in the league, having accumulated 25 points from 26 matches. Their season has been challenging, with a record of seven wins, four draws, and 15 losses. Despite their poor recent form, they have managed to score 34 goals while conceding 47, reflecting a goal difference of -13. Wuhan Three Towns, on the other hand, are positioned 15th in the standings with 21 points from the same number of matches. Their season has seen five wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses. While they have been slightly more defensively solid with a goal difference of -7, their inability to convert draws into wins has hindered their progress. Their recent form shows a slight improvement, with one win and three draws in their last five matches. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for Shenyang Urban, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to note is the likelihood of both teams scoring, which stands at 60%. However, a caveat to consider is Shenyang Urban's recent struggle to find form, as they have not won in their last five matches. The full method, which incorporates expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has used these insights to formulate this prediction.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Shenyang Urban have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Shenyang Urban are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.20 | 3.72 | 2.76 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.41 | 2.64 | |
| 2.20 | 3.90 | 2.80 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.20 | 3.92 | 3.04 | 1.50 | 2.62 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.26 | 2.57 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.15 | 3.90 | 2.90 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.28 | 3.86 | 2.86 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.41 | 2.69 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.75 | 2.82 | 1.47 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns stands at one win for each side, with no draws in their last two encounters. The matches featured tight scorelines, with both teams winning by a single goal margin in one game and a two-goal margin in the other. Shenyang Urban's victory came away from home, while Wuhan Three Towns secured their win at Shenyang's ground. The results indicate a competitive rivalry, with neither side showing a clear dominance in recent fixtures.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 14 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonShenyang Urban have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Shenyang Urban 4-4 and lost to Shenyang Urban 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 16L from the last 35 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Wuhan Three Towns have won 1 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 and drew with Chengdu Better City 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 13D 15L from the last 34 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedShenyang Urban4-1-4-1Confirmed
Wuhan Three Towns4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersShenyang Urban
No reported absences
Wuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shenyang Urban have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Wuhan Three Towns 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shenyang Urban have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shenyang Urban player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
