Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye
Match Preview
The model favours Sichuan Jiuniu to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Positioned 11th in the league, Sichuan Jiuniu has accumulated 28 points from 26 matches, with a record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses. They have scored 34 goals but conceded 45, resulting in a goal difference of -11. Despite their mixed form lately, their slight edge in goals scored and overall points puts them in a better position compared to their opponents. Henan Jianye, sitting just below in 12th place with 27 points, has a record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses. They have scored 33 goals and conceded 35, giving them a goal difference of -2. However, their recent form has been concerning, with four draws and one loss in their last five matches, indicating struggles to secure wins. This lack of momentum may hinder their ability to capitalize on opportunities against Sichuan Jiuniu. The model suggests a win probability of 45% for Sichuan Jiuniu, with a projected score of 2-1. While the data leans towards a home victory, Sichuan Jiuniu's inconsistency could create openings for Henan Jianye. The full method, which uses expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analysed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Sichuan Jiuniu have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Sichuan Jiuniu are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.78 | 3.48 | 2.28 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
| 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 2.86 | 3.63 | 2.42 | 1.62 | 2.35 | — | — | |
| 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.05 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.36 | 1.63 | 2.31 | 1.49 | 2.44 | |
Betano | 2.82 | 3.45 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Henan Jianye leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Henan Jianye stands at 1 win for Sichuan Jiuniu, 3 draws, and 2 wins for Henan Jianye over the last 6 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with three matches ending in draws and two narrow victories for Henan Jianye, including a heavy 4-1 win. Sichuan Jiuniu's sole victory was a 2-0 win, suggesting they can compete effectively, though both teams have had trouble securing consistent wins. The last time Sichuan Jiuniu won was in April 2024, indicating they have not triumphed against Henan Jianye in the last two encounters.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 29 | DDLDW |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 28 | DDDDD |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan Jiuniu have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 2-2 and lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 19L from the last 38 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Henan Jianye have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 2-2 and drew with Shenyang Urban 4-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 13D 11L from the last 37 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSichuan Jiuniu4-1-4-1Confirmed
Henan Jianye4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Henan Jianye
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Henan Jianye 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sichuan Jiuniu have generated 1.94 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sichuan Jiuniu player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
