Celtic vs Dundee Utd Prediction, Tips & Odds
Celtic vs Dundee Utd
Match Preview
The model favours Celtic to win against Dundee United, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Celtic currently sits at the top of the Premiership table with an impressive record of seven wins and only one loss from their eight matches played. They have scored 16 goals while conceding just four, showcasing a strong goal difference of +12. Despite a mixed form recently, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, their overall season performance indicates they remain a dominant force in the league. Dundee United, positioned sixth in the standings, has recorded three wins, two draws, and three losses this season. They have scored 10 goals but have also conceded 11, resulting in a goal difference of -1. Their recent form shows a slight improvement, with three wins and one draw in their last five matches, but they still face challenges against top-tier teams like Celtic. The model predicts Celtic has a high win probability, considering their strong season stats, and Dundee United's struggles in defense. However, a caveat exists; if Dundee United can capitalize on set pieces or counter-attacks, they might find a way to disrupt Celtic's dominance. The full method of this prediction is available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.2% probability.
Celtic have been the stronger side, winning 63% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Celtic win as the most likely scoreline at 11.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Celtic clean sheets, in line with their 24% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Celtic are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Celtic vs Dundee Utd| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.22 | 6.25 | 10.50 | 1.24 | 3.34 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 | 1.29 | 3.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 1.23 | 6.47 | 11.87 | 1.27 | 3.73 | — | — | |
| 1.23 | 6.09 | 8.30 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25 | 5.80 | 10.00 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.25 | 6.25 | 10.00 | 1.28 | 3.75 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.23 | 6.25 | 10.50 | 1.24 | 3.34 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 1.26 | 6.80 | 11.75 | 1.29 | 3.60 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 1.20 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.25 | 3.70 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Celtic leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Celtic and Dundee Utd, Celtic has won 7 times, with 1 draw and 2 victories for Dundee Utd. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided affair, as Celtic has secured four wins by a margin of three goals or more, including two 4-0 victories. Dundee Utd's wins have been narrow, with their last victory occurring in March 2026. The overall trend suggests that Celtic has dominated this matchup, with only one draw in the last 10 encounters and a tendency for higher-scoring games in their favor.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 27 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 6 |  ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 | WLLLL |
| 10 |  Motherwell | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCeltic have won 15 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Celtic 1-2 and beat Celtic 7-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 26W 5D 10L from the last 41 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Dundee Utd have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include drew with ST Johnstone 1-1 and beat ST Mirren 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 13L from the last 35 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCeltic4-2-3-1Confirmed
Dundee Utd4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersCeltic
No reported absences
Dundee Utd
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Celtic have averaged 7.2 corners per match at home; Dundee Utd 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Celtic have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 63% of them. They put 6.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Celtic player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.