Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers Prediction, Tips & Odds
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
Match Preview
The model favours Rangers to win this match against Heart Of Midlothian, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rangers currently sit in second place in the league standings, having accumulated 19 points from 8 matches. Their impressive season form includes six wins, one draw, and just one loss, showcasing a solid goal difference of +6. The team's defensive strength is highlighted by only five goals conceded, which is one of the best in the league. Heart Of Midlothian, in third place with 16 points from 8 matches, has also had a strong start to their season, recording five wins, one draw, and two losses. They have scored 19 goals, indicating a potent attack, but they have also conceded eight, which reflects some vulnerabilities in their defence. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five matches, suggesting they can be competitive but may struggle against a team in such excellent form. According to the model, Rangers have a win probability of around 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. One potential caveat is that if Heart Of Midlothian can capitalize on their home advantage and exploit any lapses in Rangers’ defence, they could make this a tighter contest. The full methodology used in this prediction, including expected goals and actual results analysis, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.
Rangers have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Rangers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.72 | 3.72 | 1.86 | 1.58 | 2.29 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.85 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 4.07 | 3.96 | 1.86 | 1.64 | 2.35 | — | — | |
| 3.52 | 3.52 | 1.85 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.71 | 3.72 | 1.88 | 1.58 | 2.29 | 1.52 | 2.37 | |
Betano | 3.95 | 3.80 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.32 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.87 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 5-3)In the last ten matches between Heart of Midlothian and Rangers, Rangers has won 5 times, Heart of Midlothian has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive and one-sided encounters, with several matches being closely contested, such as the 2-1 victories for Heart of Midlothian. However, Rangers has also recorded more dominant wins, including a notable 5-0 victory. Overall, the record suggests a slight edge for Rangers, but Heart of Midlothian has shown the ability to secure wins, particularly at home.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 27 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 4 |  Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 6 |  ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 | WLLLL |
| 10 |  Motherwell | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHeart Of Midlothian have won 14 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 and beat Heart Of Midlothian 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 9D 12L from the last 43 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rangers have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Dundee 2-2 and beat Celtic 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 9D 7L from the last 35 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHeart Of Midlothian
No reported absences
Rangers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Heart Of Midlothian have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Rangers 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rangers have generated 1.75 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 54% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rangers player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
